It's common knowledge 'round these parts that if the weathermen start hyping up a winter storm, it probably isn't going to happen (or we'll get only a third of what they originally predicted.) So I'm going to use this as a forum to see just how accurate these guys really are. They are predicting a slow-moving storm to cross our area right around New Year's Day. That means it could dump a lot of snow. And I love snow. So here's the outlook as of this morning:
And here is their technical outlook:
As the ball drops in Times Square on New Year's Eve so will the temperatures! Weather conditions will also be on the decline. We are watching the possibility of a coastal storm developing and roaring up the coast to help us ring in 2010! The latest model runs show the storm taking a track closer to the coast. We will most likely see a scenario where snow will break out at the onset and then transition to a wintry mix inland and to all rain along the shoreline. The storm will be a slow mover. Therefore, it may mean significant precipitation throughout the area. As always, the smallest change in any storm track can have a tremendous impact on the type and amount of precipitation we see here. Stay tuned!
Brief synopsis:
They have no idea what to expect so they're keeping their outlook extremely vague. I agree with the last sentence though - Stay tuned!
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
Major storm
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2 comments:
I was working at the radio station the Saturday before Christmas (when they were predicting that huge storm all along the East Coast). The weather guys kept breaking in to talk about how bad it was going to be... despite the fact that the state didn't see any snow at all until after 9 p.m. and it was barely a dusting when I drove home three hours later. It's apparent meteorology is anything but an exact science.
I like that you're keeping track of how accurate they are! (And I think it's hilarious they are now leaving themselves "outs" in case the storm amounts to nothing!)
and thats the one thing about forecasting...they always have that way out!!!
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